"As a technician, I feel that there are few analysts that offer value for me, but you do. Your work on Gold ratios has helped my analysis greatly." --Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT (The Daily Gold) 4.9.10

Wednesday, December 19, 2007

Huey, etc.

We are back to the lonely theme here and this is comforting. In fact, the worse things have gotten in precious metals equities, the better I have felt and the more nibbling I am doing. The chart is of the HUI, and it of course sports some pretty nasty 'potential', but charts are just charts and by now every geek out there sees the H&S on the index (along w/ the likes of GG) and fear is once again riding shotgun. The red headed step children of the PM sector, the juniors and explorers - where most of my positions are - have been absolutely humiliated and sold out. The nasty 'potential' has been realized to a large degree. But I am a TA guy who is cursed with fundamental beliefs, which is of course not really a curse but a source of comfort and strength. I look forward to continued buying opportunities in the juniors and some select larger producers.

This support area could well hold as the HUI is a 'buy' relative to gold (check the HUI-Gold ratio). One caveat to this scenario however is that I am seeing our symmetrical triangle in gold being broadcast all over the place (including by me). EVERYBODY knows now that gold is in a 'bullish' sym-tri and the Dollar is getting over bought. Everybody knows. And in this crazy sector, dat ain't usually bullish. So I remain open to lower stuff to come in both the metal & the miners. But doods and doodettes, the big picture - especially if oil breaks down - is hyper bullish. IMO.

1 comment:

  1. dood,

    it took about a week longer than i expected, but here we go with the "china lives!!!" stories:

    http://www.iii.co.uk/shares/?type=news&articleid=6454959&action=article

    that gold/copper ratio chart is shouting at me. Bot PCU.

    dood

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