"As a technician, I feel that there are few analysts that offer value for me, but you do. Your work on Gold ratios has helped my analysis greatly." --Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT (The Daily Gold) 4.9.10

Tuesday, November 23, 2010

'A Different Kind of Deflation'

The top item on the list today is a PDF file of Clif Droke's latest submission A Different Kind of Deflation.  I thought it was a pretty good journey through the past with input from two elderly gentlemen about the Great Depression era as compared to today's 'Great Recession' (and its policy-induced 'price' pressures).

What really caught my attention however, was the inflation/deflation sequence and timing that Droke puts forth as the sequence at least, matches my own work.  As to timing, he is a few months further out for a coming deflationary melt down - into 2012.  Whereas I have got an 'intermediate' deflation issue cropping up after 4 months or so of inflationary fun - culminating quite possibly with a final drink at the punch bowl and a vision of the '3 Snowmen' (888 on the HUI for gold stock traders).

But Droke and his long term cycle work agree with the premise.  Interesting stuff.  Take note; this party will end one day because the policy - try though the Fed may - is doomed to fail miserably.  From there, I expect Jon's "great leveling of the global economic and social playing fields" to resume.